College football wins totals you need to bet before it’s too late

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Nick Saban on the Alabama sidelines

Alabama head coach Nick Saban watches his team during the first half of an NCAA College Football Playoff National Championship game against Ohio State on Monday, Jan. 11, 2021, in Miami Gardens, in Florida (AP Photo / Lynne Sladky)

  • Alabama is ranked No.1 in the first AP poll of 2021, with an expected winning tally of 11.5
  • The Ohio State No.4 – Team ‘Bama beat the CFP title game last year – has a projected 11 wins
  • See below for total winning odds, you should bet one before it’s too late

The 2021 college football season officially kicks off Saturday, August 28, when Illinois hosts Nebraska in Champaign at 1 p.m. ET. The season will end on January 10, 2022 at Lucas Oil Stadium in the College Football Playoff National Championship game.

College football win totals are available for all 130 FBS teams. Remember, win totals are only for regular season games – neither bowl wins nor conference championship games count. What programs are undervalued this season? Which are overvalued? Let’s break down a trio of teams that seem like good bets to finish on one side of their total.

Alabama less than 11.5 wins

Team Total On the coast Below the odds
Crimson tide in Alabama 11.5 -113 -113

Let’s start with the best team in the country. Alabama have won six national championships since Nick Saban took over the program in 2007. During that time, the Tide have 12 or more wins on the season after a two-time title and less than 11 wins after a title at three times. Their winning tally expected in 2021? 11.5.

Make “got” a three-headed monster attacking. With the power trio of the team’s skill position at quarterback Mac Jones, running back Najee Harris and Heisman Trophy-winning wide receiver De’Vonta Smith all selected in the top 24 picks of the Draft. NFL 2021, securing 11 wins this season in the always-competitive SEC seems unlikely.

It’s not just Jones, Harris and Smith who are gone either. The Tide must also replace their starting tight end, a starting second wide receiver and three starting offensive linemen – not to mention major coaching changes.

Former offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian is now the head coach of Texas and three other offensive assistants left Tuscaloosa after last season. Plus, is second Bryce Young set to beat Florida and Texas A&M – not to mention Miami on September 4? I say no.

Heisman Trophy 2021 odds follow-up

Illinois Over 3.5 wins

Team Total On the coast Below the odds
Illinois Fighter Illini 3.5 -134 +105

As noted above, the Fighting Illini welcome the Cornhuskers in the 2021 cover lifter and are expected to be 1-0 out of the gate under new head coach Bret Bielema. Nebraska is a total disaster under the leadership of head coach and alum Scott Frost – who is under NCAA investigation for alleged misuse of analysts and consultants during practices and games.

As for Illinois, the linebacker corps is fantastic. And with two more likely wins over UTSA and Charlotte, the head coach who led Wisconsin to three in a row at the Rose Bowl ten years ago needs only to find another conference victory in course.

With Maryland and Rutgers arriving at Champaign, not only are four wins extremely likely, it’s a virtual lockdown.

Stanford more than 4 wins

Team Total On the coast Below the odds
Stanford Cardinal 4 -113 -113

For starters, like Bielema, it’s hard to bet against a head coach who has led a three-place program at the Rose Bowl (and won All’s Grandpa twice) in the past decade. This is exactly what David Shaw achieved on The Farm, and the schedule he led to nine winning seasons out of the last ten is once again overlooked.

The Cardinal 2021 team has the capacity to be the class of the Pac-12 North Division – and possibly the entire conference. Both lines are strong, the defense is strong and the offense has a chance to build on the momentum of last season’s solid finish.

With Davis Mills gone to the NFL, senior Jack West and second student Tanner McKee are still in a battle to be the next starting quarterback. But it’s a program that wants to spin the ball. Austin Jones has run for 100 yards or more in three of Stanford’s six games, while Nathaniel Peat has averaged 7.0 yards per carry. Look for the pair to help relieve the one below the center.

Yes, the schedule is intimidating, starting with three straight games away from Palo Alto. But the state of Kansas in Arlington isn’t particularly intimidating. Additionally, Stanford has historically played USC well at the Coliseum. And Vanderbilt in Nashville is… Vanderbilt.

It looks more like a 7 or 8 win team, not a 4 win group.

Blair johnson

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Sports editor

Sports editor

NFL
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