Who likes the journalist, the betting analyst or the data guru? Or the shopping cart? Or the old school gamer? Give me the facts, stories and trends. Give me this look inside the strings. Give me your gut.
You bet, bettor.
Welcome to GOLF.com’s new gambling tips column, where we’ve assembled a panel of the aforementioned experts to make three “best bets”. A real-life professional bettor will then listen to this advice, add insight, and bet their own money. It’s no different than what you do through texts and Google searches – except now it’s all in one place.
Our hope is to help you with your own weekly picks, be it for a fantastic low stakes office league, (legal!) Bets with a bookie or through free Chirp Golf, an app from our parent. company available in the App Store and on Google Play.
Now, on a few facts, the expert chooses, the best bettors of the bettor and information on how to bet for free.
This week’s tournament: Wells Fargo Championship, at the Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte, North Carolina
TV: Thursday, 2 p.m. to 6 p.m., Golf Channel; Friday, 2 p.m.-6 p.m., Golf Channel; Saturday, 1 p.m. to 1 p.m., Golf Channel, 3 p.m. to 6 p.m., CBS; Sunday, 1 p.m. to 1 p.m., Golf Channel, 3 p.m. to 6 p.m., CBS
Weather (weather.com): Thursday, partly cloudy, 73 degrees, wind 8 mph NNE; Friday, mostly sunny, 72 degrees, NW wind at 12 mph; Saturday, partly cloudy, 77 degrees, wind 9 mph W; Sunday, partly cloudy, 84 degrees, 16 mph wind from the SW
Defending champion: Max Homa, 2019 (the 2020 event has been canceled)
Top 10 odds (via DraftKings): Justin Thomas, +900; Jon Rahm, +1,000; Bryson DeChambeau, +1,500; Xander Sc Chaudele, +1,800; Rory McIlroy, +1,900; Viktor Hovland, +2000; Webb Simpson, +2000; Tony Finau, +2,800; Patrick Cantlay, +3,000; Patrick Reed, +3,000; Will Zalatoris, +3,000.
Nick Piastowski, GOLF.com, @nickpia
Bet 1: Jon Rahm, top 5, +200. His worst start of the entire season is a tie for 32nd place. It will approach the top five, if not higher.
Bet 2: Xander Sc Chaudele, winner, +1800. A good run, and outside of the players’ championship, he’s been knocking on the door all season.
Bet 3: Max Homa, top 10, +350. It’s been two years, but the defending champion knows how to achieve it.
Jessica Marksbury, GOLF.com, @Jess_Marksbury:
Bet 1: Rickie Fowler, top 20, +275. I like these odds for a former champion. Plus, he was T4 here in 2019. This should be the week Rickie takes a positive momentum.
Bet 2: Rory McIlroy, top 10, +200. Yeah, Rory quit playing a bit late, but he loves this golf course! And he’s usually in the top 10 kings. These chances are like theft.
Bet 3: Winning margin, two moves, +335. The last two winners separated from the field. Two hits seem right.
Brady Kannon, Host, Vegas Stats and Information Network (VSiN), @lasvegasgolfer:
Bet 1: Bryson DeChambeau, winner, +1,500. I think this course has similar characteristics to Winged Foot, and we know who won there last summer. Driving the golf ball is very important at Quail Hollow, so I like to have one of the best in this class here this week. I think Bryson is designed for certain courses. Augusta National is apparently not one of them – I think it is.
Bet 2: Webb Simpson, winner, +2,000. I used to avoid Webb at this event because he is a member of this course and a ‘home game’ can usually be an inconvenience for golfers – but with limited capacity for fans these days, I like Webb in that context. He should have just enough support without it being a distraction. He also played very well last summer at Winged Foot.
Bet 3: Emiliano Grillo, top 20, +225. Grillo really brings out the stats this week – like he did last week at Valspar, where he got off to a great start and then collapsed. I think he builds on that good round – and a really good recent game all around – and turns into a complete four round success this week. I wouldn’t be surprised with a top 10 or even a win, let alone a top 20.
Wes Reynolds, Host, Vegas Stats and Information Network (VSiN), @ WesReynolds1:
Bet 1: Bryson DeChambeau, winner, +1,500. DeChambeau had three weeks off and was in the lab after another disappointing effort at Augusta National. He was fourth here in his last appearance. No. 1 in the field for SG: Off the Tee, SG: Ball Striking, SG: Tee to Green and proximity gained over 200 meters.
Bet 2: Viktor Hovland, winner, +2000. Turned a 65, the low round of the day, last Sunday at Valspar to rally a finish in T-3. He should continue this momentum this week. The Norwegian is just one place outside the OWGR top 10.
Bet 3: Will Zalatoris, winner, +3000. Willy Z returns to North Carolina, where he played in Wake Forest. As expected, he didn’t do very well at RBC Heritage after his Masters finalist. Now he has had two weeks off to refocus. Wells Fargo has a history of young high profile winners smashing their daughters, including Anthony Kim (2008), Rory McIlroy (2010) and Rickie Fowler (2012).
Martin de Knijff, metric set, @mdkentrepreneur:
Bet 1: Matt Wallace, winner, +8000. The 31-year-old Englishman has made great strides with his game over the past 24-30 months. He’s always been very talented and can play tough courses really well – but temperament has always been an issue (it always is, but it’s better). Finished third in the PGA Championship at Bethpage Black in 2019 and followed up with stellar performances at Memorial last year and at Arnold Palmer this year and last. He has three top 20s this season, highlighted by a third at the Valero Open, where he was in contention to win.
Bet 2: Erik van Rooyen, top 5, +3,000. It’s about driving for the South African. When he’s sure and he hits enough fairways, he’s very, very dangerous. Three top 20s this season isn’t great form at all, but his A-game is too great to offer that kind of prize for a top 5.
Bet 3: Patrick Reed, top 20, +120. As good as this field is at the top, it is IMHO very poor from the bottom 60%. If Patrick wasn’t making swing changes with Leadbetter (primarily trying to drive the ball more consistently from left to right) I would say he would be over 55% to finish in the Top 20 – but it’s probably closer to 50 percent under the current circumstances. His chipping and putting is superb, and if you’re missing any greens here, you’ll be put to the test. Reed missed his first cut last week (17 out of 20 last year) – and that’s, of course, not a good sign, but probably why you’re getting this award.
John Rathouz, caddy of the PGA Tour and Caddy network contributor, @rathouz:
Bet 1: Joaquin Niemann, top 10, +335. Excellent course adjustment and good form evidenced by his T10 last week. Long with its driver, one of the best irons to handle and an excellent putter. Seeking to improve in a top 40 his first time around, he’s a much more mature player, but still with the youthful aggressiveness and fearlessness needed to compete at Quail Hollow. Has worked well with veteran caddy Gary Matthews since making a difference last year.
Bet 2: Seamus Power, top 10, +2,500. “Mondayed” with a 62. The Irishman is a longtime resident of Charlotte with success around Quail Hollow his first two tries (T27, T13). When he’s on, he’s on, and guarantees he’ll be focused to give him a run, especially after missing Zurich with Covid-19.
Bet 3: Harold Varner III on Kevin Streelman, -120. Another Charlotte resident with deep North Carolina roots. It can be tough to play a home game, but the crowd will be on Varner’s side and the showman will feed off that. One of the best Tour players in the all-around category who didn’t win (odds 90-1 – yes, please!). Coming out of a T2 at Hilton Head, compared to a recent string of missed cuts for Streelman, who has been unsuccessful at Quail Hollow for more than five years, with three consecutive slaps in the trunk.
The “old-fashioned” player:
Bet 1: Will Zalatoris, winner, +3000. My father was driving a Ford Zalatoris at the time. Great car.
Bet 2: Vicktor Hovland, top 5, +400. This guy is in it pretty much every time he rides it.
Bet 3: Webb Simpson, top 10, +164. Horses for lessons and more.
The best bets of the professional bettor
Erick Lindgren. Lindgren, the 2008 World Series of Poker Player of the Year, has won over $ 10.5 million in poker tournament winnings and is an avid sports gambler. @EdogPoker:
Bet 1: Viktor Hovland, winner, +2000. He’s ready to win. It’s the week.
Bet 2: Max Homa, top 5, +750. Guy defends and reaches his climax. There should be a name for it.
Bet 3: Cam Davis, top 10, +750. Ride the young guys who can break it.
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